Tsonga v Bellucci
1st Round Olympics
My model never really likes Tsonga. I think it's his style of play which statistically doesn't show him being as strong as he actually is. He had a good run at Wimbledon, losing in the semis to Murray.
On the other hand Bellucci just won the ATP in Gstaad and therefore appears to be in pretty good form.
The odds:
Tsonga 1.14 (Pinnacle)
Bellucci 6.67 (Pinnacle)
The play:
I can't say I personally expect Bellucci to have a great chance to win this one, but at these odds the model thinks there is definitely some value in backing Bellucci, therefore:
0.5u Bellucci 6.67 (Pinnacle)
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