Olympics: Troicki v Almagro

Troicki v Almagro

1st Round Olympics

Current Odds

Troicki    2.50 (Sportbet)

Almagro  1.60 (Pinnacle)

My model really thinks Almagro should dominate this one. His service game is is far superior to Troicki, and his return game is better as well.

There has been some questions about Almagro's health and fitness but this is the first round of the Olympics, he should be very determined and push through small niggling injuries. If you want to be safe you might try to find a book that cancels bets if there aren't two sets finished incase he retires in the first two sets (like The Greek) but I think this is quite unlikely.

The Play

Fairly confident about this one

2u Almagro 1.60 (Pinnacle)

I might scalp half if the lines moves to 1.30, or all of if it moves to 1.15 or lower