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Monday, July 23, 2012

Farmer's Classic: Kunitsyn v Capdeville


Kunitsyn v Capdeville

Farmers Classic
CA, U.S.A.
ATP World Tour 250

From my statistical analysis of these players I believe that Capdeville should be the favourite in this matchup. Both Capdeville's service and return should be better and therefore his overall rating, as graphed below is better than Kunitsyn.

(c) Cheven Tennis
My database needs to be updated with the most recent matches from the tournaments last week where Kunitsyn impressively beat Bryan Baker in 3 sets, but I still think Capdeville should be the favourite.

So what do the book makers say

Currently the line are:
Kunitsyn  1.79 (Pinnacle)
Capdeville 2.25 (The Greek)

The play

Therefore the play will be to back Capdeville as the bookmakers are saying he is an underdog, whereas the model suggests he should be favourite.

1u Capdeville 2.25 (The Greek)

BOL

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