Haase v Klizan
bet-at-home Cup Kitzbühel
Austria
ATP World Tour 250
I've been struggling to find something nice to bet on as I'm a bit more paranoid about players motivations and priorities given the Olympics beginning very shortly. Both these players are in the Olympics so it should be a coin-flip on who is more determined to win/lose here in Kitzbühul (although I would say that Haase has the easier draw to progress further in the Olympic tournament).
Back to the analysis of the this match: the model gives Haase the slight edge in service strength, but Klizans' return game is what should make the difference here as it is historically much stronger.
What are the current odds?
Not a lot of bookies giving odds yet but looks like it will be roughly:
Haase 1.55
Klizan 2.58
The play:
For underdog odds the model likes Klizan
0.5u Klizan 2.58 (betfair adjusted)
I got 0.5 units done done at 2.58 (betfair commission adjusted). Tip: If you try and do some at betfair don't just hit the market if the odds are really wide, try getting your bet filled somewhere in the middle.
I've been struggling to find something nice to bet on as I'm a bit more paranoid about players motivations and priorities given the Olympics beginning very shortly. Both these players are in the Olympics so it should be a coin-flip on who is more determined to win/lose here in Kitzbühul (although I would say that Haase has the easier draw to progress further in the Olympic tournament).
Back to the analysis of the this match: the model gives Haase the slight edge in service strength, but Klizans' return game is what should make the difference here as it is historically much stronger.
What are the current odds?
Not a lot of bookies giving odds yet but looks like it will be roughly:
Haase 1.55
Klizan 2.58
The play:
For underdog odds the model likes Klizan
0.5u Klizan 2.58 (betfair adjusted)
I got 0.5 units done done at 2.58 (betfair commission adjusted). Tip: If you try and do some at betfair don't just hit the market if the odds are really wide, try getting your bet filled somewhere in the middle.
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